Contingency, Chaos and A Couple of Pendulums


Imagine a bin with two marbles in it: one black and one white. Imagine pulling one out at random and putting it back, with a marble of the other color. After doing that, you end up with a bin that has two marbles of one color and one of the other. Now imagine doing this again and again. After a million iterations, there are a million and two marbles in the bin - what percentage are black?

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